The Autonomous Vehicle (AV) industry is constantly growing, thus analysing its perspectives is essential. However, for this analysis a sophisticated approach is necessary which considers the ambiguity of decision-makers, and different objectives and criteria related to stakeholders. In this paper a new model is proposed based on Decomposed Fuzzy Sets and the Best-Worst Method to deal with possible non-reciprocity of pairwise comparisons and different preferences of stakeholders in the AV industry. The main advantage of the model is that it is capable of considering optimistic and pessimistic attitudes along with the different objectives and criteria of the involved groups. The results show that users require short travel time, while operators, manufacturers and legislators expect mainly the increase of revenues from the AV implementation. Among the most important criteria, our analysis indicates the need of regulatory and safety issues are the most essential obstacles of expanding the AV industry. The new model can also be applied for evaluating the perspectives of other emerging technologies and industrial sectors.
Journal:Informatica
Volume 32, Issue 4 (2021), pp. 661–686
Abstract
Consensus creation is a complex challenge in decision making for conflicting or quasi-conflicting evaluator groups. The problem is even more difficult to solve, if one or more respondents are non-expert and provide uncertain or hesitant responses in a survey. This paper presents a methodological approach, the Interval-valued Spherical Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process, with the objective to handle both types of problems simultaneously; considering hesitant scoring and synthesizing different stakeholder group opinions by a mathematical procedure. Interval-valued spherical fuzzy sets are superior to the other extensions with a more flexible characterization of membership function. Interval-valued spherical fuzzy sets are employed for incorporating decision makers’ judgements about the membership functions of a fuzzy set into the model with an interval instead of a single point. In the paper, Interval-valued spherical fuzzy AHP method has been applied to public transportation problem. Public transport development is an appropriate case study to introduce the new model and analyse the results due to the involvement of three classically conflicting stakeholder groups: passengers, non-passenger citizens and the representatives of the local municipality. Data from a real-world survey conducted recently in the Turkish big city, Mersin, help in understanding the new concept. As comparison, all likenesses and differences of the outputs have been pointed out in the reflection with the picture fuzzy AHP computation of the same data. The results are demonstrated and analysed in detail and the step-by-step description of the procedure might foment other applications of the model.