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  4. Analytic and Stochastic Methods of Struc ...

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Analytic and Stochastic Methods of Structure Parameter Estimation
Volume 27, Issue 3 (2016), pp. 607–624
Mikhail Kuznetsov   Aleksandra Tokmakova   Vadim Strijov  

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https://doi.org/10.15388/Informatica.2016.102
Pub. online: 1 January 2016      Type: Research Article     

Received
1 November 2014
Accepted
1 April 2015
Published
1 January 2016

Abstract

The paper presents analytic and stochastic methods of structure parameters estimation for a model selection problem. Structure parameters are covariance matrices of parameters of linear and non-linear regression models. To optimize model parameters and structure parameters we maximize a model evidence, a convolution of a data likelihood with a prior distribution of model parameters. The analytic methods are based on the derivatives computation of the approximated model evidence. The stochastic methods are based on the model parameters sampling and data cross-validation. The proposed methods are tested and compared on the synthetic and real data.

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Vilnius University

Keywords
structure parameters optimization regression model error function Laplace approximation Monte-Carlo estimation cross-validation

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INFORMATICA

  • Online ISSN: 1822-8844
  • Print ISSN: 0868-4952
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