Informatica

In this paper we propose and analyze a multilayer perceptron-like model with matrix inputs. We applied the proposed model to the financial time series prediction problem, compared it with the standard multilayer perceptron model, and got fairly good results.

In this paper two popular time series prediction methods – the Auto Regression Moving Average (ARMA) and the multilayer perceptron (MLP) – are compared while forecasting seven real world economical time series. It is shown that the prediction accuracy of both methods is poor in ill-structured problems. In the well-structured cases, when prediction accuracy is high, the MLP predicts better providing lower mean prediction error.