Structural break detection is an important time series analysis task. It can be treated as a multi-objective optimization problem, in which we ought to find a time series segmentation such that time series theoretical models constructed on each segment are well-fitted and the segments are long enough to bear meaningful information. Metaheuristic optimization can help us solve this problem. This paper introduces a suite of new cost functions for the structural break detection task. We demonstrate that the new cost functions allow for achieving quantitatively better precision than the cost functions employed in the literature of this domain. We show particular advantages of each new cost function. Furthermore, the paper promotes the use of Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) in the domain of structural break detection, which so far has relied on the Genetic Algorithm (GA). Our experiments show that PSO outperforms GA for many analysed time series examples. Last but not least, we introduce a non-trivial generalization of the top-performing state-of-the-art approach to the structural break detection problem based on the Minimum Description Length (MDL) rule with autoregressive (AR) model to MDL ARIMA (autoregressive integrated moving average) model.
Journal:Informatica
Volume 26, Issue 3 (2015), pp. 509–522
Abstract
The Generalized Traveling Salesman Problem is one of a well known complex combinatorial optimization problems. Equality-Generalized Traveling Salesman Problem is a particular case of it. The main objective of the problem it is to find a minimum cost tour passing through exactly one node from each cluster of a large-scale undirected graph. Multi-agent approaches are successfully used nowadays for solving real life complex problems. The aim of the current paper is to illustrate some agent-based algorithms, including particular ant-based models and virtual robots-agents with specific properties for solving Equality-Generalized Traveling Salesman Problem.