Pub. online:5 Aug 2022Type:Research ArticleOpen Access
Volume 16, Issue 1 (2005), pp. 3–18
The general concept of probabilistic argumentation systems PAS is restricted to the two types of variables: assumptions, which model the uncertain part of the knowledge, and propositions, which model the rest of the information. Here, we introduce a third kind into PAS: so-called decision variables. This new kind allows to describe the decisions a user can make to react on some state of the system. Such a decision allows then possibly to reach a certain goal state of the system. Further, we present an algorithm, which exploits the special structure of PAS with decision variables.
Volume 6, Issue 3 (1995), pp. 313–322
The exact solution of the reliability of structures under stochastic loading is generally difficult, and various approximate methods have been developed. The most popular are the linearization method, the Monte-Carlo method and its numerous variants. In this paper new modification of the Monte-Carlo method based on asymptotical expansion is examined. Results of mathematical simulation are given.