Informatica

Neural networks (NNs) are well established and widely used in time series forecasting due to their frequent dominance over other linear and nonlinear models. Thus, this paper does not question their appropriateness in forecasting cryptocurrency prices; rather, it compares the most commonly used NNs, i.e. feedforward neural networks (FFNNs), long short-term memory (LSTM) and convolutional neural networks (CNNs). This paper contributes to the existing literature by defining the appropriate NN structure comparable across different NN architectures, which yields the optimal NN model for Bitcoin return forecasting. Moreover, by incorporating turbulent events such as COVID and war, this paper emerges as a stress test for NNs. Finally, inputs are carefully selected, mostly covering macroeconomic and market variables, as well as different attractiveness measures, the importance of which in cryptocurrency forecasting is tested. The main results indicate that all NNs perform the best in an environment of bullish market, where CNNs stand out as the optimal models for continuous dataset, and LSTMs emerge as optimal in direction forecasting. In the downturn periods, CNNs stand out as the best models. Additionally, Tweets, as an attractiveness measure, enabled the models to attain superior performance.

In this paper, we present the progress of blockchain technology from the advent of the original publication titled “Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System,” written by the mysterious Satoshi Nakamoto, until the current days. Historical background and a comprehensive overview of the blockchain technology are given. We provide an up-to-date comparison of the most popular blockchain platforms with particular emphasis given to consensus protocols. Additionally, we introduce a BlockLib, an extensively growing online library on blockchain platforms collected from the various sources and designed to enable contributions from the blockchain community. Main directions of the current blockchain research, facing challenges as well as the main fields of applications, are summarized. We also layout the possible future lines in the blockchain technology development.