Multistage K-Means Clustering for Scenario Tree Construction
Volume 21, Issue 1 (2010), pp. 123–138
Pub. online: 1 January 2010
Type: Research Article
Received
1 January 2008
1 January 2008
Accepted
1 October 2009
1 October 2009
Published
1 January 2010
1 January 2010
Abstract
In stochastic programming and decision analysis, an important issue consists in the approximate representation of the multidimensional stochastic underlying process in the form of scenario tree. This paper presents the approach to generate the multistage multidimensional scenario tree out of a set of scenario fans. For this purpose, the multistage K-means clustering algorithm is developed. The presented scenario tree generation algorithm is motivated by the stability results for optimal values of a multistage stochastic program. The time complexity of developed multistage K-means clustering algorithm is proved to be linear in regard to the number of scenarios in the fan. The algorithm to determine the branches with nonduplicate information in the multistage scenario tree is also presented as an intermediate result of research.