Informatica

In the previous paper (Pupeikis, 1998), the problem of recursive estimation of the state of linear dynamic systems, described by an autoregressive model (AR), in the presence of time-varying outliers in observations to be processed has been considered. An approach to the robust recursive state estimation has been obtained and proved by estimating the real chemical process (Box and Jenkins, 1970). The aim of the given paper is the development of the abovementioned approach for the robust recursive state estimation of an autoregressive-moving average (ARMA) process in a case of additive noises with patchy outliers. The results of numerical simulation and the state estimation of the AR model (Figs. 1–4) and the real chemical process, described by the ARMA model, which is chosen from the same book of Box and Jenkins (Figs. 5–8) are given.

In the previous papers (Masreliez and Martin, 1977; Novovičova, 1987; Schick and Mitter, 1994) the problem of recursive estimation of linear dynamic systems parameters and of the state of such systems in the presence of outliers in observations have been considered. In this connection various ordinary recursive techniques are worked out, when systems output is corrupted by an additive noise with a time homogeneous contamination of outliers. The aim of the given paper is the development of an approach for robust recursive state estimation of linear dynamic systems in a case of additive noises with time-varying outliers. The recursive technique based on the abovementioned theoretical results is obtained and proved by state estimation of the real chemical process (Box and Jenkins, 1970). The results of numerical simulation by computer (Fig. 1–3) are given.

In the papers (Kaminskas, 1973; Kaminskas and Nemura, 1975) the stopping rule of recursive least squares (RLS) is worked out using the length of the confidence interval for the respective current meaning of the true output signal of a linear dynamic system. The aim of the given paper is the development of techniques for calculating threshold intervals of respective criteria, used in such a stopping rule. In this connection adaptive threshold intervals based on the Cramer-Rao lower bound according to Pupeikis (1995) are proposed here, too. The results of numerical simulation by IBM PC/AT are given.

In the previous papers (Novovičova, 1987; Pupeikis 1991) the problem of recursive least square (RLS) estimation of dynamic systems parameters in the presence of outliers in observations has been considered, when the filter, generating an additive noise, has a transfer function of a particular form, see Fig. 1, 2. The aim of the given paper is the development of well-known classical techniques for robust on-line estimation of unknown parameters of linear dynamic systems in the case of additive noises with different transfer functions. In this connection various ordinary recursive procedures, see Fig. 2–6, are worked out when systems' output is corrupted by the correlated noise containing outliers. The results of numerical simulation by IBM PC/AT (Table 1) are given.

In the previous paper (Pupeikis, 1990) the problem of model order determination in the presence of outliers in observations has been considered. The aim of the given paper is the development of the recursive algorithms of computation of M-estimates ensuring their stability conditions. In this connection the approach, based on adaptive Huber's monotone psi-function, is worked out. It is also used for the detection of the outliers in time series and for the correction both outliers and M-estimates during successive calculations. The results of numerical simulation by computer (Fig. 1 and Table 1) are given.